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Rumah> Blog> Ammonium chloride market has not yet entered the "2012" in 2012

Ammonium chloride market has not yet entered the "2012" in 2012

March 21, 2022

In the Mayan prophecy, in 2012, the human race suffered a devastating blow. Before 2012, the state introduced the "2012 tariff implementation plan", many manufacturers believe that the "2012" of the ammonium chloride market is coming, and the 2012 ammonium chloride market will continue to slump.

First of all, look at the tariff policy. On December 16, 2011, the 2012 Tariff Implementation Plan was reviewed and approved by the State Council's Customs Tariff Commission at its 8th plenary meeting, and submitted to the State Council for approval. Implementation will begin on January 1, 2012. Among them, ammonium chloride is implemented during the peak season from January to June, from January to December, 82%, and during the off-season from July to October, 7% of the export tariffs. Nitrogen and phosphorus dual-fertilizers are implemented from January to May in the peak season, from October to December, and 82% in the off-season. In September, 7% of export tariffs, some people worry about the ammonium chloride market next year, and think that the market will continue to operate weakly.

The author believes that the ammonium chloride market is not pessimistic next year, although with the gradual increase in production and expansion of the manufacturers, the domestic oversupply is a foregone conclusion. However, from the adjustment of tariffs, we can see that the state has left room for these surplus production capacity. The period of July-October of ammonium chloride and the window period of June-September of dual-fertilizer are the main raw materials for the two-component fertilizer. Ammonium, so to see the ammonium chloride can flow abroad in the 6-10 months. Ammonium chloride in 2011 continued to rise from May, mainly due to the large amount of dual-fertilizer exports during this period, and many ammonium chloride manufacturers did not do a good job of preparing a large number of dual-fertilizer exports before this time, and the supply of goods on the market was tight. According to statistics from China Fertilizer Net, the total amount of dual-fertilizer exports in the period from June to September was 1,929,700 tons, which accounted for 65% of the export volume in January-October, and in 2012, under the precondition of a clear export window, ammonium chloride and compound fertilizer manufacturers It is very likely that preparations for exports will begin after the end of the compound fertilizer winter storage market this year. During this period, the volatility of ammonium chloride prices is unlikely to be large. Under conditions of adequate preparation, the period from June to September 2012 will be Exports are likely to be more than this year.

Therefore, it is expected that the ammonium chloride price in 2012 is likely to be a normal function distribution, and it will obviously fall back into February. In April, the price driven by the demand of compound fertilizer manufacturers will slowly increase, and during the period from June to October, due to export volume. Larger and tighter sources of supply in the market peaked and then entered a slow downward phase again.


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